Region 25

fortdawg
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Region 25

Post by fortdawg » Sat Oct 24, 2015 12:41 am

Week 10 is going to be a wild ride.



Raider6309
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Re: region 25

Post by Raider6309 » Sat Oct 24, 2015 12:49 am

Danville looks like the heavy favorite

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Re: region 25

Post by Runner » Sat Oct 24, 2015 12:59 am

I hope Miller can bounce back after tonight's 39-21 loss to Wahama to stay in contention for a playoff game

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Re: region 25

Post by EasternDspy » Sat Oct 24, 2015 1:52 am

I want Waterford to beat Belpre and sneak in

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Re: region 25

Post by mattash » Sat Oct 24, 2015 2:26 am

Danville is probably favorite to win state.

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Re: region 25

Post by formerfcfan » Sat Oct 24, 2015 2:44 pm

Sorry to the gentlemen who PM'd me earlier in the week asking for text updates. I anticipated the site being up at a time I could've punched the numbers into my phone.
Glory, glory to the Irish.

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Re: region 25

Post by formerfcfan » Sat Oct 24, 2015 2:50 pm

Harvest Prep is VERY good...
Glory, glory to the Irish.

svac83
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Re: region 25

Post by svac83 » Sat Oct 24, 2015 2:57 pm

i have this region finishing this way. will work all scenarios after todays games
1. danville 18.39 with a easy win over bradford may end up with a ton more points but they are number #1
2.caldwell 16.20 with a win over shenandoah
3. trimble 14.82 they could finish second even with a cladwell win but would need several upsets of level 2 opponets of caldwell to lose.
4. belpre 12.8 with a win over waterford a loss would leave them at 10.66 and probably still in
5. harvest prep 12.69 with a win over fairfield christian with a loss they would be 11.32 and still in
6. symmes valley 11.22 with a win over northwest a loss 8.98
7. south gallia 9.17 with a win over miller 6.69 with a loss and out.
8. miller 8.02 with a loss to south gallia 10.18 points and in.
9. sciotoville 8.02 with a loss to notre dame. 9.80 with a win
10 fisher catholic 7.65 with a loss to whitehall yearling with a win would be in at 10.57
11. shadyside 6.50 with a loss to river valley if they beat river valley would be 10.32 and be in.
12 waterford 6.34 with a loss to belpre with a win would be at 9.12 and in the mix
couple of other teams that are mathmatically but very doubtful.

Raider6309
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Re: region 25

Post by Raider6309 » Sat Oct 24, 2015 3:01 pm

formerfcfan wrote:Harvest Prep is VERY good...
I forgot they played well against D3 Bexely and D5 Alexander. This region is a lot better than recent years

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Re: region 25

Post by nice guy » Sat Oct 24, 2015 3:42 pm

Yes, you are correct.
If Shadyside knocks off River Valley, they will be in at 4-6.
It has been a long time that they have not made the playoffs. I bet at least a decade.

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Re: region 25

Post by tomcat fan » Sat Oct 24, 2015 6:42 pm

Danville will win the region and may not even be challenged until the state semis
Go Cats, Go Buckeyes

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Re: region 25

Post by EasternDspy » Sat Oct 24, 2015 10:57 pm

Shadyside has a decent shot to beat River Valley and get in.

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Re: region 25

Post by kicker56 » Sun Oct 25, 2015 9:58 am

If you want to watch the Lucas vs. Danville game it's online.
http://www.wmfdsports.com/

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Re: region 25

Post by ttomcat 80 » Mon Oct 26, 2015 2:43 pm

Think your numbers are off a little.Trimble finishes up at 15.172.Numbers will be close between them and Caldwell for 2 and 3rd.As for syemmes they should lose to northwest ,they are very big and run it down your throat.Week 10 is miller and SG play off winner is in loser most likely out,unless sciotoville lose to ND which can happen.SG will be out if they lose to miller.FC is done.Shadyside can make it with a big win over river valley and can even jump from 11 all the way to maybe even 6th
:roll: cats :roll:

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Re: Region 25

Post by Momentum » Mon Oct 26, 2015 2:57 pm

Could be a good regional final between Danville and Cadwell if Cadwell gets their TB back. If they don't Danville will dominate them in the finals.

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Re: Region 25

Post by ttomcat 80 » Mon Oct 26, 2015 4:56 pm

Don't give Danville the state title yet.I do think the title will come from region 23 or 25 this year.Danville is in the same boat Trimble was 2 years ago best team they ever had then had to play Marion local.Same thing going to happen this year.Danville has a darn good team and ohsaa dropped Magdore down to D-7 from D-6 and was 10-0 last year and they are pretty good to.Minster will be in the finals from region 26.2 loses against coldwater and Marion local neither where blow outs.Danville will beat caldwell even if their running back comes back,not in shape to carry the load that they will need unless his injury wasn't as bad as they said and are just saving him.
:roll: cats :roll:

kicker56
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Re: Region 25

Post by kicker56 » Mon Oct 26, 2015 6:36 pm

ttomcat 80 wrote:Don't give Danville the state title yet.I do think the title will come from region 23 or 25 this year.Danville is in the same boat Trimble was 2 years ago best team they ever had then had to play Marion local.Same thing going to happen this year.Danville has a darn good team and ohsaa dropped Magdore down to D-7 from D-6 and was 10-0 last year and they are pretty good to.Minster will be in the finals from region 26.2 loses against coldwater and Marion local neither where blow outs.Danville will beat caldwell even if their running back comes back,not in shape to carry the load that they will need unless his injury wasn't as bad as they said and are just saving him.
I wouldn't call this Danville's best team to come through, one of the best yes. '92, '93 competed with NC, '99 made Final 4, '01 lost on a hail mary to Shadyside to go to final 4 in which Shadyside could have easily have beat Mogadore, '02 lost to NC to go final 4 3-0 before 4 TO's inside 30 in a mud bowl NC lost to Mogadore in regulation up 14 points with under 5 minutes left, Mogadore won title, '04 Danville lost to state champ in final 4 after numerous injuries, '12 team lost to NC 48-46 on a failed 2 pt conversion in which NC took MSML to the wire. Danville has definitely had teams who could have won state but the stars have to align right. For example the '01 team wouldn't have stood a chance of beating MSML. '93 team didn't get in at 9-1 only loss was to Jonathan Alder on missed xp, that team was loaded and could have won it that year..

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Re: Region 25

Post by carbon_dated » Mon Oct 26, 2015 7:04 pm

Shadyside has progressed each week to the point where i'd call them a slim favorite over River Valley.
Tigers win and they're in!

ttomcat 80
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Re: Region 25

Post by ttomcat 80 » Mon Oct 26, 2015 7:13 pm

Their still good just saying ohsaa don't seem to want anybody from the southeast,eastern side of state winning a championship if all possible.You have to have a good draw and some luck unless your just that darn good.I think if they get bye magdore they will win.Trust me I watched them play last year and we played Caldwell didn't want any part of the spread offense.We played smash mouth football last 2 years that's why we matched up better with shadyside and Caldwell not Dannville.
:roll: cats :roll:

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Re: Region 25

Post by H-back » Mon Oct 26, 2015 7:52 pm

What are the chances Waterford can get in with an upset?

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Re: Region 25

Post by formerfcfan » Mon Oct 26, 2015 8:18 pm

Trying to think who all has played in the state title game from the old Region 23/new region 25

Trimble '13
Newark Cath '12
Buckeye Central (although they are definitely not SE/E Ohio) '11
Shadyside '10
Newark Cath '07
Shadyside '06
Fisher '98 (this was when only four made it out)

Recent history suggests that the draws have been more favorable in recent history. In previous years, early 2000's era they'd flip between pairing R23 with either R21 (Mogadore) or R24 (Marion Local often). R24, or I should say the new R26, is probably an easier matchup because of how diluted that region... although a MAC team is generally good for being in that region. The current R24 (the old R22), is probably the toughest region truthfully. McComb, Arlington, Delphos St Johns (when they're on), anytime you get a good team between Columbus Grove or Pandora-Gilboa. R23 (the old R21) in NE Ohio is kind of shoddy given that you'll find a Mogadore, a Norwalk St. Paul, and a Warren JFK but that's basically it. Maybe a Toronto or if the regions realign Danville.
Glory, glory to the Irish.

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Re: Region 25

Post by formerfcfan » Mon Oct 26, 2015 8:23 pm

If Fisher (somehow) beats Whitehall then they're basically in. FC got destroyed by Harvest Prep, but HP is going to be better and more disciplined than Whitehall.

If Harvest Prep finishes in the top four of the region then they'll get a home game, which can work out pretty well for them since they are deadly on turf. They're very fast, and they play a lot smarter than previous HP teams. Not saying they'll be a threat to take the region, but if you group the region's top three as Danville/Caldwell/Trimble, then HP would be a solid fourth and there'd be a big gap between the next teams.
Glory, glory to the Irish.

svac83
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Re: Region 25

Post by svac83 » Mon Oct 26, 2015 9:20 pm

okay here is my cheat sheet for this region
danville 17.93
caldwell 15.70 (l2 points could increase or decrease this average by about 1 point)
trimble 15.17.
belpre 12.80
harvest prep 12.69 ( they have a shot at a lot of l2 points 1 game goes there way and they are 4th
fisher catholic 10.98 if they beat white hall yearling
symmes valley 10.86 if they beat northwest
shadyside 10.32 if they beat river valley
miller 10.18 if they beat south gallia
sciotoville 9.44 if they beat notre dame
south gallia 9.17 if they beat miller
symmes valley 8.62 if they lose to northwest
fisher catholic 8.05 if they lose to white hall yearling
miller 8.02 if they lose to south gallia
scittoville 7.66 if they lose to notre dame

that should be the scenarios that effect this region

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Re: Region 25

Post by kicker56 » Mon Oct 26, 2015 9:41 pm

ttomcat 80
Good point about the spread. As you know they returned everyone from last years team, this team also had the lead late on Western Reserve in the 4th q when they were all sophomores. You guys ended up taking them out in the final 4 that year.

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Re: Region 25

Post by Chubby69 » Tue Oct 27, 2015 3:05 pm

H-back wrote:What are the chances Waterford can get in with an upset?
They have to have a lot of help but they have to win to even think about playoffs

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Re: Region 25

Post by icanpickem » Tue Oct 27, 2015 4:15 pm

Current top 10 in region with playoff records and last appearance
Danville 16-15 (2014)
Trimble 10-11 (2014)
Caldwell 2-8 (2014)
Harvest Prep 0-1 (2014)
Belpre 0-6 (2014)
Symmes Valley 3-11 (2014)
Sciotoville Community 0-2 (2011)
Miller 0-2 (2000)
Fisher Catholic 8-8 (2006)
South Gallia 0-3 (2011)

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Re: Region 25

Post by Eaglepapaw » Tue Oct 27, 2015 5:05 pm

formerfcfan wrote:If Fisher (somehow) beats Whitehall then they're basically in. FC got destroyed by Harvest Prep, but HP is going to be better and more disciplined than Whitehall.

If Harvest Prep finishes in the top four of the region then they'll get a home game, which can work out pretty well for them since they are deadly on turf. They're very fast, and they play a lot smarter than previous HP teams. Not saying they'll be a threat to take the region, but if you group the region's top three as Danville/Caldwell/Trimble, then HP would be a solid fourth and there'd be a big gap between the next teams.
FC is the only team that HP has beat with a winning record,as one of their wins was a forfeit which was originally a loss so I don't see a big gap between them and Belpre Belpre's only losses have been to #2 Trimble and @1 Region 21 DVl Fort Frye. Belpre has won 7 in a row scoring 40 + points in 6 out of the 7 games and only 1 team scoring more than once on them.I think Belpre - HP would be a great game that could go either way with whoever gets the home field with a slight advantage.

formerfcfan
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Re: Region 25

Post by formerfcfan » Tue Oct 27, 2015 5:25 pm

What's Belpre looking like in terms of depth? HP has a healthy size of field-ready players by D7 standards. The first few games they had their running back at QB.
Glory, glory to the Irish.

Eaglepapaw
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Re: Region 25

Post by Eaglepapaw » Tue Oct 27, 2015 5:38 pm

formerfcfan wrote:What's Belpre looking like in terms of depth? HP has a healthy size of field-ready players by D7 standards. The first few games they had their running back at QB.
They have 35 players and have decent backups at most positions but starters play most of the time when needed.

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Re: Region 25

Post by J_Manziel2 » Tue Oct 27, 2015 5:43 pm

My prediction:
8) Symmes Valley @ 1) Danville
7) South Gallia @ 2) Caldwell
6) Sciotoville @ 3) Trimble
5) Belpre @ 4) Harvest Prep

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Re: Region 25

Post by kicker56 » Tue Oct 27, 2015 10:23 pm

icanpickem what an interesting stat
Great stat. Trying to think of Danville losses :
NC 5x
Shadyside 4x
Monroeville 1
Norwalk St. Paul 1
Bishop Rosecran 1
Western Reserve 1
Hardin Northern 1
Columbiana 1

3 games against NC could have went either way, and 3 games against Shadyside could have went either way as well.

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Re: Region 25

Post by formerfcfan » Tue Oct 27, 2015 10:30 pm

The 7-6 game w/ Fisher ripped my heart out. So many missed opportunities.
Glory, glory to the Irish.

kicker56
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Re: Region 25

Post by kicker56 » Wed Oct 28, 2015 8:41 am

formerfcfan wrote:The 7-6 game w/ Fisher ripped my heart out. So many missed opportunities.
z
It was a heck of a game, Danville had a few turnovers in the red zone, and then FC threw a perfect double pass that hit a WR in stride uncovered and went right through his hands on 4th down, and Danville kneed it from there. Had he caught it he was gone and FC goes on to the final 4 that year.

EasternDspy
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Re: Region 25

Post by EasternDspy » Wed Oct 28, 2015 10:03 am

Belpre has some good players but they def are not deep they rely on like 4 players to move the football. I also think if Waterford wins they get in though I think Belpre will win by a score.

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Re: Region 25

Post by Irish Dawg » Thu Oct 29, 2015 9:01 am

1- Danville
2- Trimble
3- Caldwell
4- Belpre
5- Harvest Prep
6- Sciotoville
7- South Gallia
8- Symmes Valley
A lot of games that can figure into this order, but here is how I see it.
1, 2, 3 win and are pretty set.
Belpre and HP is going to be tight. Both have to win (test for Belpre) and if Madison Plains and Franklin Hts win, HP will be at 4, Belpre at 5. I think HP needs both to stay at 4. East beats ND, SG beats Miller if they don't have McGinnis. With 22, Miller beats SG. SV loses to NW, but still gets in. A serious wildcard wiht all this is Shadyside. They could jump to 6 with a win over RV, and although I think it will be close, I believe RV wins.

It is going to be fun to watch!

Good luck and good health to all these young men! HEB. 12:1-2

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