D3 R11 Playoff Picture - Updated Thru WK 9

[ironman02]

Beechcroft/Northland is actually a VERY important game next week. If Northland wins that game, it opens the door for Beechcoft to drop. That could play a big factor in determining those last couple spots as well.

[ironman02]

Here are my projections following Week 9. I think I had the L2 divisor messed up for DeSales last week. Not that it matters, but their average is gonna be a lot higher than I projected last week.

#1 - DeSales (10-0) - 32.3964
#2 - Bexley (10-0) - 25.4694
#3 - Eastmoor (8-2) - 24.0000
#4 - Hamilton Twp (8-2) - 23.6960
#5 - Beechcroft (9-1) - 23.3663
#6 - Chillicothe (8-2) - 22.4500
#7 - Whitehall-Yearling (8-2) - 19.6601
#8 - Sheridan (8-2) - 18.9000
#9 - Athens (8-2) - 18.4500
#10 - Jackson (7-3) - 17.0500

If Beechcroft loses to Northland, I think they'll finish at around 19.3990 and should still be in, but that could change the seeds up.

The big game for Sheridan is Tri-Valley/Philo. If TV wins that game, Sheridan will finish at around 18.9000. If Philo wins, Sheridan would finish at around 18.4000 and possibly behind an 8-2 Athens. There are several games that could be crucial for Athens and Sheridan, but to me, the biggest one is TV/Philo.

If Athens loses to N-Y, they're probably out unless Sheridan and Jackson lose. If they do beat N-Y, then it's gonna be VERY close with Sheridan.

If Chillcothe loses to Wilmington, I think they'll finish at around 18.2000, which could put them behind both Athens and Sheridan (if both win), so that's something to keep your eye on as well.

Jackson needs to beat Midland and then hope for Athens and Sheridan to lose. They could also potentially jump Chillicothe if the Cavs lose to Wilmington, but that would be next to impossible.

Here's what Drew Pasteur thinks...

http://www.fantastic50.net/r11proj.html

He has Chillicothe losing to Wilmington, but still getting in because Athens would have lost to N-Y. Everything else looks pretty close to what I'm predicting.

[Raider6309]

Sheridan and Athens will be very close if they both win. If Chillicothe loses, they are out

[ironman02]

Sheridan and Athens will be very close if they both win. If Chillicothe loses, they are out

Chillicothe can still get in if they lose. They would probably need Athens or Sheridan to lose though.

[Raider6309]

its two battles, getting in and getting the 7 seed since Bexley isn't very good compared to Desales

[ironman02]

Looks like the matchups are set for Week 11. Only thing left to see is where the 4/5 game will be played.

#8 Sheridan at # 1 DeSales
#7 Whitehall at # 2 Bexley
#6 Chillicothe at #3 Hamilton Twp
#4/5 Beechcroft vs #4/5 Eastmoor