Minford 60 Northwest 7

[nutronron2012]

Minfords playoff future is in serious trouble. Win out, your in. If not, no go.

#303 Minford (5-1) 105.6
Ranked #51 of 111 in Division IV, #13 in Region 14
Overall strength-of-schedule 0.273, #604 toughest (of 718)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.255, #106 toughest (of 111)
Conference championship: 1% outright, 5% at least a share
Projected record 7-3, win total probabilities 6W-8% 7W-54% 8W-33% 9W-5%
Harbin projections (ranges): 5W-10.5(9.5-11.8) 6W-12.1(9.6-16.5) 7W-14.0(11.4-19.8) 8W-18.0(14.9-22.0) 9W-22.1(19.4-24.8)
Playoff probabilities: 7W-1% 8W-44% 9W-100%
Home game probabilities: 8W-1% 9W-64%
Seed projections (ranges): 7W-#out (#5-#out) 8W-#out (#2-#out) 9W-#4 (#1-#8)
Projected 14.00 Harbin points (divisor 100), projected out (best #1, worst out)
Playoff chance 20% (control own destiny), 3% chance of a home game
Playoff chance 20% with a win this week, and 9% with a loss
1st round opponents: Valley View (Germantown) 27%, Archbishop Mcnicholas (Cincinnati) 18%, Archbishop Alter (Kettering) 16%, Miami Trace (Washington Court House) 14%, Urbana 10%
Week 1: Won 40-6 A vs #650 Rock Hill (Ironton) (0-6, D5 R17), pick: W by 25
Week 2: Won 34-0 H vs #506 Grandview Heights (Columbus) (2-4, D6 R21), pick: W by 20
Week 3: Won 58-0 H vs #577 Piketon (2-4, D5 R17), pick: W by 24
Week 4: Won 34-6 A vs #410 Portsmouth (2-4, D5 R17), pick: W by 9
Week 5: Won 30-16 A vs #429 Oak Hill (5-1, D6 R21), pick: W by 8
Week 6: Lost 28-35 A vs #409 Portsmouth West (West Portsmouth) (3-3, D5 R17), pick: W by 23
Week 7: H vs #636 Northwest (Mc Dermott) (3-3, D5 R17) 96% W (30 pts)
Week 8: H vs #118 Wheelersburg (6-0, D5 R17) 83% L (16 pts)
Week 9: A vs #536 Waverly (2-4, D5 R17) 88% W (19 pts)
Week 10: H vs #201 Valley (Lucasville) (6-0, D6 R21) 68% L (8 pts)
Week 4: 109.9 (#247, #39 in D4, divisor 100, berth 42%, home 12%, proj. out) 7W-13.1H-1% 8W-16.2H-20% 9W-20.0H-89%-#6 10W-24.0H-100%-#3
Week 5: 115.3 (#188, #28 in D4, divisor 100, berth 69%, home 30%, proj. #5 seed) 7W-14.7H-3% 8W-16.8H-29% 9W-20.6H-97%-#5 10W-24.9H-100%-#2
Week 6: 105.6 (#303, #51 in D4, divisor 100, berth 20%, home 3%, proj. out) 7W-14.0H-1% 8W-18.0H-44% 9W-22.1H-100%-#4

[vladimir]

Nutronron2012: I am a loyal Falcon fan and you're preaching to the choir to me. I said in week 3, look at my posts, this would be the case.10-0 home game, 9-1 on the road, if not, lucky to get in , 8-2 out. However, it still lets beat the teams we know we can beat and hope to get in. This is a tough road ahead. Its one the falcons have the potential of achieving, but the tough road is due to: They have no one to blame but themselves to be in this situation.

You can see it in the strength of schedule is at 27.3%, as compared to the rest of the state of Ohio.!!! That's an F- no matter where you are, 604 out of 718 teams. I hope the AD can see the writing on the wall for 2014, if these teams (E.g., South Point, Rock Hill, and NW,) are kept on the schedule.

Overall strength-of-schedule 0.273, #604 toughest (of 718)
Division IV strength-of-schedule 0.255, #106 toughest (of 111)

http://www.fantastic50.net/Ohio_Region_14.php

[vladimir]

In 2015, Hamler Patrick Henry has an open week 5. Oak Hill is moving to week 2, that means it's an open date. Maybe we could do like Valley did with Van Buren and meet half way and play a Saturday night game in Columbus.

[Badboy]

The Rock Hills of the world have to go. No reason to schedule schools like that. No reason to keep Northwest either. Drop them. They are leaving the conference anyways.

I too would like to see them pick up a team from the North and have a 2 yr deal where both games are played on a neutral field in Columbus. Very good idea.

[Kenraken Ahta]

Well, hope to see NW at least put a couple of TDs on the board tonight and "air it out" a little bit. These last five games of their season are tough. Got to work on their game and stay healthy to have a shot at winning in week ten. Man a win in "ten" would be something to build on for 2014 as they venture into the SOC-I. Defense needs to play smart and get to the ball in a hurry and wrap up! Last three games the NW defense is giving up on average 45 points a game! Having said all that let's go.........

Minford 45

Northwest 14

[Kenraken Ahta]

Was 54-7 the final?

[minfordmamma]

60-7

[WhiteWhiskers]

Be proud Minford you showed CLASS Maybe you can use some of these points against Valley. Everyone get a CD of this game and watch it the first week end of play offs and rejoice all over again.

[vladimir]

Freakin' Zippy-do-da!

[big_fella]

Be proud Minford you showed CLASS Maybe you can use some of these points against Valley. Everyone get a CD of this game and watch it the first week end of play offs and rejoice all over again.

Minford didn't run the score up we didn't pass and we were running straight dives with our freshman and scored sorry your jv team couldn't tackle. But northwest has good size and hard runners they also play hard the whole game

[bluedude62]

McCray did not play last night. Looked like he had a cast or splint on his left wrist. Wonder if he will be ready to play next week ?